The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Étienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problem

But first! Some extended listener feedback

Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV

Three Bodies At Mitani

A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows

00:42  Abortion Clarification & Jace’s Addition
14:15  Best Purchase Ever
27:24  Main Topic: Effective Altruism’s Neglect of Aesthetics
1:19:09  LW posts
1:36:37  Thank the Patron

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Roe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world.

Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester.

In state’s where it’s legal, one can have a self-managed abortion.
AidAccess is available to help. Services like ipostal1 will forward mail from other states.
Misoprostol is relatively easy to acquire from veterinary sources.

Eneasz is unhappy with Kamala Harris

1:08:13  LW posts
1:15:40  Thank the Patron

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Not long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now.

Recommended by Travis:

The Legends and Myths of Hawaii

The Rise and Fall of the Hawaiian Kingdom: A Pictorial History

Unfamiliar Fishes

Weblog of the acting government of the Hawaiian Kingdom

1:17:57  LW posts
1:25:44  Thank the Patron

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Four Major AI Advancements In One Week!

New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute

Googles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish cause and effect and understand counterfactuals

DALL-E 2 makes amazing art on demand

Socratic Modeling system

1:39:51  LW posts

Also mentioned:

Overcoming Bias: AI Language Progress

What an actually pessimistic containment strategy looks like

Github Copilot

Anthropic AI

The Mind Killer

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We address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep

3:15  Cryonics Concerns
49:21  Theses On Sleep
1:23:01  LW posts
1:50:16  Thank the Patron

Also mentioned:

LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guide

Our episode with Rudy Hoffman

Lifespan podcast

Limitless w Chris Hemsworth

Counter-theses on Sleep

Scott Alexander’s Sleep Is The Mate Of Death

Cryonics Insitute FAQ and info re transportation services

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The Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed.

The full episode is available for our Patrons

Mentioned:

List of Current States With Monarchs

CGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power)

Tears For Fears – Everybody Wants To Rule The World (warning – crappy 80s song)