The Conspiracy Welcomes You

Discussions often happen at the Bayesian Conspiracy subreddit

We now have a Patreon page!

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28 – Effective Altruism

Being effective vs. feeling good. EA is a big topic, this is really just an intro for the uninitiated.

The Life You Can Save, by Peter Singer (and the inspired-by website)

Money: The Unit of Caring, by Eliezer Yudkowsky

Nobody is Perfect, Everything is Commensurate, by Scott Alexander

What Is The Greatest Good? – an EA profile in The Atlantic, wherein they refer to EA as “generosity for nerds” (Which is one of the ways you can tell it’s better than pleb generosity. 😉 – Eneasz), probably the best-known site for evaluating charity effectiveness. They are the source of the oft-cited ~$3000 = one life saved statistic (based on the effectiveness of their top-rated charity, the Against Malaria Foundation)

Giving What We Can – where you can make the 10% pledge, in addition to getting more info

80,000 Hours – making a difference via your career by putting your comparative advantage to the best use.

2017 AI Risk Literature Review and Charity Comparison – We briefly discussed the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and it’s possible relationship to Effective Altruism. This article is an in-depth analysis of some aspects of that topic.

Center For Effective Altruism


Animal Charity Evaluators

The Salvation Army – :/ at best

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27 – On Punching Nazis

When is it OK to punch Nazis?

Original Richard Spencer being punched video
Follow-up video of the guy who punched him being briefly confronted

Eneasz’s two posts on the topic

Ken White of Popehat On Punching Nazis (he’s against it, for good legal reasons)

A pro-punching piece a friend sent to Eneasz

The Alternative Right piece discussing black genocide that is quoted

Who is this “Black Bloc?”

The shooting of a (not really) Nazi at University of Washington

Derek Black, the white supremacist who was invited to dinner by Jewish classmates and decided he wouldn’t be a supremacist anymore.

Superman vs The KKK, on This American Life, where Eneasz first heard of it, although it looks to have first appeared in Freakonomics and so has probably shown up all over the place.

Non-Violent options for change at Indivisible Guide

Change My View at reddit


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26 – Concept Networks and Hanging Nodes

Eliezer Yudkowsky’s original post on Neural Categories and hanging nodes.

Scott Alexander on Diseased Thinking and a longer essay Concept Networks.

The very worthwhile analysis on holiday gift giving reddit comment.

Google’s deep learning utilizes these sorts of networks. “The Great AI Awakening” discusses this at some length, and is Eneasz’s source for visual recognition software finding cats in youtube videos and The Hidden Watchers.

This Alien Shore is what inspired Eneasz’s face-tattoos, it contains a society where every morning people apply very elaborate face make-up to signal their interests, social status, careers, education, etc. Those who are very confident they won’t have personality shifts over time get them tattooed on.

TED talk by David Epstein regarding extreme body-types of the most elite athletes. Link starts at 6:00, but the first six minutes of the talk is about how new technology has led to record-breaking improvements in performance, which is also very interesting.

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25 – Tinder, Actually

The Conspirators meander through various topics, using a Tinder encounter as a framing story:



Steven’s OKCupid stats come from Rationally Speaking episode 89

Katrina’s OKCupid stats (and pic) come from Big Lies People Tell

The Toxoplasma of Rage

Dan Dennett’s talk

Haidt on The Moral Roots of Conservatives and Liberals

Philosophers and their beards

Our brand new Patreon page!





Fun on Tinder!

Ho hum, I’ll just flip through this person’s images…

Image of a couple Slight zoom on the image of a young couple. Fully zoomed on the image of a young couple, excluding them and focusing only on a person in the background.





































Photoshop Magic!






























I didn’t get the sad Kermit memo

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24 – Signaling


Robin Hanson’s “What is Signaling?”

Scott Alexander’s definition of signaling: a method of conveying information among not-necessarily-trustworthy parties by performing an action which is more likely or less costly if the information is true than if it is not true.

A list of some blog posts about signaling courtesy of Less Wrong.

Hanson on sitting in on classes at Stanford.

*You usually need a degree for a job in academia 😛

The Logic of Stupid Poor People

Alternative perspective: poor person with designer purse

Brian Caplan on illegal IQ tests

Venomous. We mean that the snakes are venomous, not poisonous.

Batesian mimicry is parasitic in that one species (the most edible one) benefits to the detriment of the model species. It can only be maintained if the harm caused to the predator by eating the model outweighs the benefit of eating the mimic. –Sterns & Hoekstra. Evolution: An Introduction (5th ed.). p. 464.

Katrina: To clarify, it’s hard for me to tell where the truth lies on the cost/benefit analysis of making a child. It isn’t hard to predict a child’s impact on carbon emissions. That’s clearly a cost.

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