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Discussions often happen at the Bayesian Conspiracy subreddit

We now have a Patreon page!

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

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93 – Conflict vs Mistake

In this episode, we try to explain the Slate Star Codex post, Conflict vs Mistake. We hope we didn’t make any major mistakes, and if we did, that it won’t cause any kind of conflict.

Links:
– SSC: Conflict vs Mistake
– Also: Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs Mistake
– Ratfic Rec: Draco Malfoy and the Practice of Rationality
– Eneasz Book Rec: Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration, and the Future of White Majorities
– Steven Podcast Rec: Hacking Humans


Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
And now there’s a book club happening there! Check it out in the “tbc-book-club” channel.


Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Professing and Cheering

Belief as Attire

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Religion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable

The Importance of Saying “Oops”


Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

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92 – Replacing Guilt

Jess and Phoenix tell us about Replacing Guilt.

Favorites from the series: “Should” considered harmful and Confidence all the way up

Another recommended book is The Courage To Be Disliked

Also mentioned – Flint’s water is OK now.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And What Lies Dreaming now has audio of the early chapters, with more coming!


Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)

Belief in Belief

Bayesian Judo

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Professing and Cheering

Belief as Attire


Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

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91 – Are You Jesus or Hitler??

In this episode our hosts come together to try and figure out if it’s worth worrying about the possibility that we’re living in a simulation, with a fun twist. We also do plenty of listener feedback.

Steven mentioned Eneasz’s book.

When I googled the short story Eneasz talked about “Steve Fever” (which was written by Greg Egan), the fifth result was a link to Eneasz’s blog post about the story, which contains a link to the story in it.

Jess mentioned a story called “Stupid Perfect World” which you can get on Amazon for only 3 bucks!

A link to the Slate Star Codex post: Burdens

Steven mentioned the Primitive Technologies channel on Youtube


Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?


Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?

Two More Things to Unlearn from School

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)

Belief in Belief

Bayesian Judo


Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

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90 – Secret to Our Success

We talk about Cultural Evolution, and why it is so terrible.

Links:
The Secret to Our Success:
SSC
The Book
Melting Asphalt on Prestige Versus Dominance
I, Pencil (About How No One Can Make a Pencil Anymore)
Caveman Sci-Fi
The Mr. Rogers Documentary

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t

Correspondence Bias

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?

Two More Things to Unlearn from School


Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

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89 – Is Rationalism Being Co-opted by the Alt-Right?

We talk with David about his question on our subreddit. There’s a lot of other comments and thoughts about the subject at that thread, which you can read here.

Sorry about the lateness of this episode, just some growing pains.

Related Links:

Scott Alexander on the economic costs of racism
Jordan Peterson 12 rules for life & maps of meaning
Raymond Arnold call to action 
The Pi Day HPMOR wrap announcement
It’s hard work and sacrifice living in an Amish Paradise
Kevin Kelly (founder of Wired, not Popular Science) about the Amish
– also his book, what technology wants 
Dunbar’s Number (where you can only keep track of about 100 friends)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Scope Insensitivity

One Life Against The World

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t

Correspondence Bias


Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

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88 – UBI and Other Forms of (Evil?) Taxes

The Conspiracy sits down with David Spearman, a long time listener and commenter who told us why we were all wrong about UBI and we figured he should tell you too.

Here’s the homework problem David spoke about. The answer is at the bottom.

Suppose a firm has to workers: Bob and Omega. It makes two goods: Ultraspace Drives, worth $1000 each (like I said, cost of living has gone way down) and gizmos worth $10 each. Bob can make an Ultraspace Drive in 1000 years and a gizmo in 1 year. Omega can make an Ultraspace Drive in a year and 10 gizmos in a year. What is the maximally productive allocation of these workers? 

David also sent us a couple of links for further research if you’re inclined.

  • Jason Brennan’s When All Else Fails: The Ethics of Resistance to State Injustice
  • Glen Weyl and Eric Posner’s Common Ownership Self Assessed Tax and book link
  • [From David:] The “a UBI will be spent which will stimulate economic growth” argument is basically a rehash of John Maynard Keynes’ argument from the General Theory of Employment, Interets, and Money. You can read the General Theory here
  • There are really good summaries of Keynes’ theory as well as really good criticisms of it scattered around the internet, but the most accessible is the Keynes vs. Hayek rap battle videos (part 1 and part 2)

Samuel Hammond article “Universal Basic Income” Is Just a Negative Income Tax With a Leaky Bucket

SMBC Steven mentioned about not emotionally connecting with the end of the world

Denver’s Tiny Home Village

Eneasz couldn’t find the super compelling link on air pollution correlating to increased Alzheimer’s risk, but here are two others (One) and (Two)

Richard Dawkins “We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones”

If anyone is interested in Crionics but finds the paperwork daunting, contact Rudi Hoffman!

Slate Star Codex review of The Machinery of Freedom

 

You can buy Eneasz’s novel! He’d be super-pleased with that state of affairs. 🙂 You can buy it in physical or ebook versions at Amazon, or ebook-only at any ebook seller.


Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Beware the Unsurprised

The Third Alternative

Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Scope Insensitivity

One Life Against The World


Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!


Homework Solution:

If Bob makes Ultraspace drives, he makes the company $1/year. If he makes gizmos, he makes the company $10/year. If Omega makes Ultraspace Drives, it makes $1000/year. If it makes widgets, it makes $100/year. Observe that Omega is more productive regardless of what job he takes. However, if he makes Ultraspace Drives, and Bob makes gizmos, the total revenue is $1010/year. Any other allocation of labor will result in lower revenue. If they reverse jobs, revenue is $101/year; if they both split their time evenly, revenue is $555.5/year; if both build Ultraspace Drives, revenue is $1001/year; etc.

As long as Bob and Omega aren’t identically productive, Bob can still be gainfully employed. Even if Omega can be infinitely copied for free, additional copies should be put to work on Ultraspace Drives (this does break down if you relax the “production doesn’t affect the price” assumption, but only if you also make the assumption that the cost of producing an Ultraspace Drive is the same as producing a gizmo). This is why “Chuck Norris has a comparative advantage in everything” jokes are hilarious.

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