The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Steven and Eneasz discuss the latest timeline shifts regarding the advent of superhuman general intelligence. Then in the LW posts we got greatly sidetracked by politics (stupid mind-killer!).

Links:

Two-year update on my personal AI timelines on LessWrong

Robert Wiblin on kissing your kids

Lex Fridman podcast

Jack Clark (AI policy guy) on AI policy

Scott Alexander on slowing AI progress

Guide to working in AI policy and strategy

0:00:42 Feedback
0:08:20 Main Topic
1:13:29 LW posts
2:11:40 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

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We speak with Levi/Ferb, learning about labor law in the USA. Turns out it’s not what we thought.

Links:

What would a general strike look like today?
Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block strike
Truckers strike at Port of Oakland
Taft–Hartley Act
A People’s History of the United States
Dr. Horrible’s Sing-Along Blog
United Mine Workers of America to pay more than $13 million in compensation to an Alabama coal company
African American Workers Historic Struggle Against Segregation

Labor News:

Who Gets the Bird?
PayDay Report
Working People Podcast

“You are GPT-3,” a long-form prompt directly instructing GPT-3 on desired usage of a scratchpad to suppress hallucinatory answers
Craiyon

0:00:01 Main Topic
2:08:40 Feedback
2:14:46 LW posts
2:40:03 Thank the Patron

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A Jugaad is like a hack that combines a new thing that doesn’t work anymore with an old thing that sorta worked, as a temporary solution. Now do it for Ethics.

(note: due to technical issue, the last 3 minutes of the main topic audio quality is crappy. sorry.)

The Primary Article – Jugaad Ethics

Also mentioned:

Random article about jugaad Eneasz found

Who Should Pay On A Date?

Pregnancy is Body Horror

Red Plenty

TradFam as Startup

YouTube vids to get started on doing sex better

Liberal Elite minority rule

Feedback – Friendship is Optimal text, and FiO Audio on YouTube
Utopia, LOL?
What Lies Dreaming free online

0:02:33 Feedback
0:06:05 Main Topic – Jugaad Ethics
1:25:22 LW posts
1:40:56 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

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Luck is the most power force in the universe, and leaving power untapped is not very rational.

Searching for Outliers

How to Get Lucky

Also mentioned:

Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium
The audio version of It’s Probably Not Lithium from the LessWrong Curated Podcast
The entirety of the LessWrong Curated Podcast

Friendship is Optimal

Things you’re allowed to do

Micro-Marriages

Bad At Marketing? Eneasz’s novel What Lies Dreaming,
and Substack DeathIsBad

0:00:36 Feedback
0:26:30 Main Topic – Outliers and Luck
1:36:39 LW posts
1:49:52 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

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Dunbar’s Number is both the cause of and downfall of Human Civilization

Low-Status degrades your health

Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything

Mentioned in the follow-ups section:

Lithium suspect?

AIs threaten proof-of-work

The Mind Killer podcast

0:00:34 Feedback
0:11:58 Main Topic pt1 Status in Dunbar Spheres
0:46:37 Main Topic pt2 The Dawn of Everything
1:15:08 LW posts
1:30:04 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

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Katrina is back!! We talk about how pregnancy isn’t super easy, and is borderline body horror.

War In The Womb

Expecting Better book

Pregnant Women Are Smug

Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality

How Pregnancy Changes the Brain, and PubMed version

Clown Registry

Still A Good Mom

1:32:08 LW posts
1:51:00 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?